Charlotte won last year's match against Thursday's opponents via a penalty shootout, but they have been performing poorly in recent games, while Cruz Azul have made a strong start to the season – which is why we predict they will claim all three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.34) 
