Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Azteca
We said: Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Tijuana
Both teams will be looking to lay down an early title marker and claim sole ownership of top spot with a win here. We are anticipating a keenly-contested game with the hosts just about edging it in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Club Tijuana |
55.44% ( 0.15) | 23.17% ( 0.16) | 21.39% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.96) |
| 53.31% ( -1.06) | 46.68% ( 1.06) |
| 31.05% ( -1) | 68.95% ( 1) |
| 83.31% ( -0.33) | 16.69% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.59) | 46.56% ( 0.59) |
| 63.95% ( -0.9) | 36.05% ( 0.9) |
