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Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
CF

Austin
2 - 2
Charlotte FC

Ring (11'), Gallagher (80')
Rubio (75'), Pereira (86'), Desler (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swiderski (33' pen.), Tavares (56')
Privett (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Austin
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Charlotte FC

Buoyed by their resilient display against the Crew, Charlotte will take on Austin with confidence as they look to strengthen their position in the playoff places. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a share of the spoils at the Q2 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawCharlotte FC
44.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 24.42%31.44%
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39%66.61% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.47%
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85%62.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 44.13%
    Charlotte FC 31.44%
    Draw 24.42%
Austin FCDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Austin
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 7 at 2.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Orlando City
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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