Buoyed by their resilient display against the Crew, Charlotte will take on Austin with confidence as they look to strengthen their position in the playoff places. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a share of the spoils at the Q2 Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.