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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Ciudad de Mexico (D.F.))

Cruz Azul
vs.
Toluca

 
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Monday, May 27 at 2am in Liga MX
Next Game: Cruz Azul vs. Mazatlan
Sunday, July 7 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Guadalajara vs. Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Toluca win is 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.96%).

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
46.01%23.78%30.21%
Both teams to score 59.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14%41.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74%64.26%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57%18.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41%49.59%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53%26.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35%61.65%
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 46.01%
    Toluca 30.21%
    Draw 23.78%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-1 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 30.21%

Form Guide
Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Monday, May 27 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 America
Friday, May 24 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Monterrey
Monday, May 20 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-1 Cruz Azul
Friday, May 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Pumas
Monday, May 13 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-2 Cruz Azul
Friday, May 10 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, May 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-5 Toluca
Saturday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX


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