Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Toluca win is 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.96%).