Overall, Juarez look sharper and more consistent in all areas of the field when compared to St Louis, and we expect that consistency will carry them to victory this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.