SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 11.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Seattle Sounders.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
71.95% ( -0.02) | 16.89% ( 0.01) | 11.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( -0.04) | 37.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( -0.04) | 60.13% ( 0.04) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.75% ( -0.01) | 9.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.73% ( -0.03) | 31.27% ( 0.03) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.01) | 43.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.01% ( -0.01) | 79.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 4.11% Total : 71.94% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 16.89% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.17% |
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