Juarez have been conceding goals freely so far and this could prove costly as they desperately seek their first victory of the season. While Pumas are in better shape, they have often found it difficult to win at Juarez, but they look capable of at least securing a draw in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Pumas
35.85% ( 0.45)	26.08% ( 0.21)	38.06% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46% (

-0.88)

50.54% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54% (

-0.78)

72.46% (

0.78)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.15)

27.19% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.2)

62.6% (

0.2)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.77)

25.93% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-1.04)

60.92% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Juarez 35.85%

Pumas 38.06%

Draw 26.08%

Juarez	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.06%