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Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 2.10am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 2
Juarez

Paulinho (10', 71'), Mosquera (17' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Venegas (48'), Zaldivar (54')
Orquin (15'), Villalpando (17'), Zaldivar (37'), Zaldivar (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Toluca 1-1 Juarez

Toluca had a strong showing in the second half of last season, boasting a formidable home record, but they have historically struggled against Juarez. The away side demonstrated their goalscoring ability in their opening match, which could be crucial in securing a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawJuarez
62.07% (0.41200000000001 0.41) 20.26% (-0.217 -0.22) 17.67% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.378 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.683 0.68)39.1% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.713 0.71)61.43% (-0.71400000000001 -0.71)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.324 0.32)12.1% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.68 0.68)37.64% (-0.682 -0.68)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (0.19199999999999 0.19)35.52% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.199 0.2)72.29% (-0.19999999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 62.07%
    Juarez 17.67%
    Draw 20.26%
TolucaDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.07%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 17.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, May 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-5 Toluca
Saturday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Juarez
Saturday, April 20 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-1 Tijuana
Monday, April 15 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Juarez
Monday, April 8 at 4.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-1 Santos Laguna
Monday, April 1 at 2.36am in Liga MX


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