Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Pachuca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
Result |
Santos Laguna | Draw | Pachuca |
30.16% ( -0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.02) | 46.25% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.11) |
59.02% ( -0.13) | 40.97% ( 0.13) |
36.63% ( -0.13) | 63.36% ( 0.13) |
73.94% ( -0.11) | 26.06% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( -0.15) | 61.11% ( 0.15) |
82.02% ( -0.02) | 17.98% ( 0.02) |