Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.26) 
