Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Tigres in this match.