Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
-0.6) 
0.77) 
