Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.55) 
0.13) 
