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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Sep 18, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 1
Guadalajara

Martin (4' pen.), Zendejas (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Calderon (62')
Vega (23'), Cisneros (90+8')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 3-3 Santos Laguna
Thursday, September 15 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-4 Tigres
Wednesday, September 14 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawCD Guadalajara
56.52% (0.502 0.5) 24.2% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 19.28% (-0.452 -0.45)
Both teams to score 47.03% (-0.549 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.362 -0.36)53.4% (0.361 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.306 -0.31)74.93% (0.30500000000001 0.31)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (0.052999999999997 0.05)18.76% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85% (0.090000000000003 0.09)50.14% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.88% (-0.716 -0.72)42.12% (0.715 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.46% (-0.624 -0.62)78.53% (0.622 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Club America 56.52%
    CD Guadalajara 19.28%
    Draw 24.19%
Club AmericaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 11.06% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America 3-3 Santos Laguna
Thursday, September 15 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 America
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 3-0 Atletico San Luis
Wednesday, September 7 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Tigres
Sunday, September 4 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-3 America
Saturday, August 27 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 America
Wednesday, August 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-4 Tigres
Wednesday, September 14 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, September 4 at 11.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Monterrey
Wednesday, August 24 at 1.05am in Liga MX


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