SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | CD Guadalajara | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 13 | -5 | 17 |
| 9 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Monterrey | 15 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Club America | 13 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 12 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Club America |
19.7% ( -0.2) | 22.84% ( -0.15) | 57.45% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( 0.38) | 47.46% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( 0.35) | 69.68% ( -0.35) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0) | 38.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( 0.01) | 74.98% ( -0.01) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.25) | 16.26% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 0.46) | 45.8% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Necaxa | Draw | Club America |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.7% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.25% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.44% |
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