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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Akron

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Puebla

Vega (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maia (20'), Mancuello (45+3'), Silva (66'), Herrera Rodriguez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Pachuca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
45.57% (0.103 0.1) 26.32% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 28.11% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.109 -0.11)53.87% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)75.33% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.149 -0.15)34.13% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.16 -0.16)70.82% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 45.56%
    Puebla 28.11%
    Draw 26.32%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, September 4 at 11.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Monterrey
Wednesday, August 24 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-4 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 20 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-1 Atlas
Sunday, August 14 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Pachuca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Puebla
Friday, September 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Juarez
Saturday, August 27 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, August 21 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Necaxa
Wednesday, August 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 3-3 Puebla
Saturday, August 13 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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