Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.