Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
