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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2021 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
3 - 2
Pachuca

Murillo (45' og.), Manotas (57'), Moreno (83' og.)
Ruiz (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (24'), de la Rosa (54')
Moreno (51'), Chavez (61')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Pachuca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawPachuca
42.57%26.74%30.69%
Both teams to score 50.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66%54.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28%75.73%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73%25.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98%60.03%
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56%32.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04%68.96%
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 42.56%
    Pachuca 30.69%
    Draw 26.73%
Club TijuanaDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.56%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.69%

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