Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.