Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
