Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.