Toluca
2 - 1
Pumas

Sambueza (20'), Canelo (70')
Lopez (15'), Rigonato Rodrigues (68'), Canelo (72'), Garcia (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dinenno (8' pen.)
Garcia Hernandez (56'), Lopez (56')
Mozo (15'), Garcia Hernandez (75'), Dinenno (90+7')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pumas
50.8%	24.96%	24.24%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82%

51.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97%

73.03%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85%

20.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56%

52.44%

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1%

35.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33%

72.68%

Score Analysis

Toluca 50.79%

Pumas 24.24%

Draw 24.96%

Toluca	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.79%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.91% Total : 24.24%