SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club Leon |
| 35.48% | 25.52% | 39.01% |
| Both teams to score 55.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% | 48.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% | 70.27% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.63% | 61.37% |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% | 24.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.31% | 58.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Club Leon |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.48% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.01% |
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