Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.