Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
