Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Juarez
61.91% ( -1.12)	20.61% ( 0.44)	17.48% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 55.03% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

-0.82)

41.08% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

-0.84)

63.47% (

0.84)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

-0.56)

12.75% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.99% (

-1.18)

39% (

1.18)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

0.3)

36.93% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28% (

0.29)

73.72% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 61.91%

Juarez 17.48%

Draw 20.61%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Juarez
2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.48% Total : 61.91%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.48%