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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Tijuana

Sepulveda (46')
Rodriguez (45+2'), Fernandez (45+7'), Uriel (45+2'), Faravelli (50'), Guerrero (79'), Sepulveda (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Contreras (40'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, January 27 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, January 27 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub Tijuana
54.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 21.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.026 0.03)70.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)17.92% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02)48.73% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)73.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 54.22%
    Club Tijuana 21.93%
    Draw 23.83%
Cruz AzulDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 54.22%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, January 27 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-0 Cruz Azul
Saturday, January 20 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Pachuca
Sunday, January 14 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Puebla
Monday, November 13 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, November 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-0 Juarez
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, January 27 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Tijuana
Sunday, January 21 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 0-2 America
Sunday, January 14 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Pachuca
Saturday, November 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 3-0 Tijuana
Sunday, November 5 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Tigres
Thursday, November 2 at 3.06am in Liga MX


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