Cruz Azul
3 - 1
Toluca

Angulo (12'), Rodriguez (80' pen.), Gimenez (90+3')
Gimenez (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Canelo (14')
Juan Vazquez (34'), Baeza (39')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Toluca
60.62%	21.88%	17.5%

Both teams to score 50.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35%

46.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08%

68.92%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07%

14.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.67%

43.33%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77%

40.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.14%

76.86%

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 60.62%

Toluca 17.5%

Draw 21.88%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.25% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.44% Total : 60.62%	1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 5.47% 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2% Total : 17.5%