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Liga MX
May 10, 2021 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
4 - 2
Guadalajara

Murillo (51', 80'), de la Rosa (69', 89')
Cabral (16')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Uriel (10', 90+3' pen.)
Vega (35'), Torres (75'), Huerta (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and CD Guadalajara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawCD Guadalajara
40.66%27.94%31.4%
Both teams to score 47.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.39%58.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83%79.17%
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84%34.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15%70.85%
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 40.66%
    CD Guadalajara 31.4%
    Draw 27.93%
PachucaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.66%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.4%

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