Toluca
3 - 1
Queretaro

Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Queretaro
39.57%	25.58%	34.85%

Both teams to score 55.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.54%

48.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.41%

70.59%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83%

24.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5%

58.49%

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21%

26.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92%

62.07%

Score Analysis

Toluca 39.57%

Queretaro 34.85%

Draw 25.58%

Toluca	Draw	Queretaro
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.85%