Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queretaro in this match.
