Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.
