Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
-0.09) 
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