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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
2 - 2
Santos Laguna

Cambindo (10'), Uriel (45' pen.)
Rodriguez (27'), Gudino (41'), Escobar (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Preciado (2', 64' pen.)
Govea (25'), Campos (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, July 15 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-0 Atlas
Friday, July 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawSantos Laguna
41.04% (-0.543 -0.54) 25.39% (0.249 0.25) 33.57% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.755 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-1.019 -1.02)47.88% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.946 -0.95)70.07% (0.952 0.95)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (-0.71000000000001 -0.71)23.17% (0.716 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (-1.054 -1.05)57.05% (1.059 1.06)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.304 -0.3)27.29% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (-0.40199999999999 -0.4)62.74% (0.407 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 41.04%
    Santos Laguna 33.57%
    Draw 25.38%
Cruz AzulDrawSantos Laguna
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.265 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.275 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, July 15 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca
Sunday, July 9 at 12.50am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, May 7 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-2 Santos Laguna
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-0 Atlas
Friday, July 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Santos Laguna
Saturday, July 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, July 3 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, May 14 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-0 Monterrey
Thursday, May 11 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 4-4 Santos Laguna (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 7 at 2.10am in Liga MX


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