Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Azteca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Santos Laguna |
41.23% ( -0.84) | 24.84% ( -0.04) | 33.93% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( 0.41) |
| 54.67% ( 0.43) | 45.33% ( -0.43) |
| 32.33% ( 0.41) | 67.67% ( -0.41) |
| 78.03% ( -0.22) | 21.97% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.74% ( -0.33) | 55.26% ( 0.33) |
| 74.14% ( 0.74) | 25.86% ( -0.74) |
