Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio AKRON
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Cruz Azul |
47.84% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.05) | 27.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.21) |
| 50.55% ( 0.26) | 49.45% ( -0.26) |
| 28.51% ( 0.24) | 71.49% ( -0.23) |
| 79.3% ( 0.11) | 20.7% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.7% ( 0.17) | 53.3% ( -0.17) |
| 67.41% ( 0.18) | 32.58% ( -0.18) |
