SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Cruz Azul |
47.84% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.05) | 27.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( 0.26) | 49.45% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( 0.24) | 71.49% ( -0.23) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.11) | 20.7% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.7% ( 0.17) | 53.3% ( -0.17) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( 0.18) | 32.58% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.2) | 69.12% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.09% |
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