Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 2, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Jalisco
We said: Atlas 1-1 Cruz Azul
Atlas did not possess a great record in front of their own fans last season, winning just five games in total, while Cruz Azul were not great travellers either, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest.
The first game of the season tends to be a tentative affair, so we think both teams will be slow out of the blocks.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
| Result |
| Atlas | Draw | Cruz Azul |
45.15% ( -0.15) | 26.39% ( 0.1) | 28.45% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.27) |
| 46.03% ( -0.36) | 53.97% ( 0.36) |
| 24.59% ( -0.3) | 75.41% ( 0.31) |
| 76.18% ( -0.23) | 23.82% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.33) | 57.99% ( 0.34) |
| 66.09% ( -0.15) | 33.91% ( 0.15) |
