SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Tigres |
| 40.85% | 28.16% | 31% |
| Both teams to score 46.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% | 59.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% | 79.85% |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.61% | 64.39% |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% | 34.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.34% | 71.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.99% |
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