Toluca
2 - 0
Cruz Azul

Ortega (24'), Sauro (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Toluca win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Cruz Azul
21.42%	22.28%	56.3%

Both teams to score 56.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27%

42.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87%

65.12%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22%

33.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56%

70.44%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.53%

43.47%

Score Analysis

Toluca 21.42%

Cruz Azul 56.3%

Draw 22.27%

Toluca	Draw	Cruz Azul
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.5% 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.42%	1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 9.12% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-3 @ 5.76% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.97% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.3%