Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
