Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.