Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.