Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.
