Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlan

Canelo (19', 30', 87'), Sambueza (35')
Baeza (12')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sanvezzo (67')
Sanvezzo (12'), Diaz (20'), Vargas (29'), Jimenez (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
53.67%	23.43%	22.9%

Both teams to score 54.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.91%

46.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.61%

68.39%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9%

17.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7%

47.31%

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7%

34.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29%

71%

Score Analysis

Toluca 53.66%

Mazatlan 22.9%

Draw 23.42%

Toluca	Draw	Mazatlan
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.87% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.15% Total : 22.9%