Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
