Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.