Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.81%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 1-2 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
