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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
2 - 2
Queretaro

Camacho (17', 40')
Meraz (45+4'), Diaz (45+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (20'), Rubin (90+4')
Venegas (53'), Escamilla (68')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawQueretaro
59.41% (0.629 0.63) 23.22% (-0.21 -0.21) 17.37% (-0.418 -0.42)
Both teams to score 46.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (0.199 0.2)52.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (0.172 0.17)73.98% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (0.297 0.3)17.29% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37% (0.51900000000001 0.52)47.63% (-0.519 -0.52)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.28% (-0.395 -0.4)43.72% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.1% (-0.329 -0.33)79.89% (0.32900000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 59.4%
    Queretaro 17.37%
    Draw 23.22%
MazatlanDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, September 22 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-0 Necaxa
Thursday, September 19 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 14 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, August 31 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-0 Pachuca
Saturday, August 24 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Queretaro
Saturday, September 21 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Tigres
Wednesday, September 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Queretaro
Saturday, September 14 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Queretaro
Sunday, September 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, August 24 at 2am in Liga MX


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