Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.
